After a period of relatively calm or mild weather for many, forecast models are signaling a significant pattern shift on the horizon. If you’ve been wondering when winter will truly arrive, meteorologists are advising several regions across the country to prepare for a sudden and impactful change that is expected to unfold next week. This guide breaks down which areas are in the path of this shift and what you can do to be ready.
Before diving into the specific regions, it helps to understand what’s happening in the atmosphere. Long-range weather models, including those from the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA) and the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts (ECMWF), are showing a disruption in the jet stream.
The jet stream is a high-altitude river of air that typically separates cold, arctic air to the north from warmer air to the south. When the jet stream is strong and flows in a straight line, weather patterns are stable. However, it is now predicted to buckle and dip southward, creating a large trough over the central and eastern parts of the United States. This trough acts like an open door, allowing a mass of much colder arctic air to spill south, leading to an abrupt change in temperatures and weather conditions. This is not a typical cold front; it’s a large-scale pattern overhaul that can last for several days.
While daily forecasts will pinpoint exact timing, this larger pattern change is expected to impact a broad swath of the country. Residents in these areas should pay close attention to their local weather updates as next week approaches.
The Upper Midwest and Great Lakes: This region is often the first to feel the effects of an arctic blast. States like Minnesota, Wisconsin, Iowa, Illinois, Michigan, Indiana, and Ohio are on high alert. Expect a dramatic temperature drop from potentially mild conditions to well below freezing. This sudden chill could also trigger significant lake-effect snow downwind of the Great Lakes. Cities like Chicago, Minneapolis, and Detroit could experience their coldest air of the season so far.
The Northeast and New England: As the trough of cold air swings eastward, it will envelop the Northeast. From Pennsylvania and New York up through Maine, residents should prepare for a sharp downturn in temperatures. This shift could be accompanied by brisk winds, creating dangerously low wind chill values. The potential for a coastal storm or an inland snow event also increases when cold air clashes with moisture from the Atlantic.
The Ohio and Tennessee Valleys: The cold air intrusion is expected to push deep into the Ohio and Tennessee Valleys. States like Kentucky, Tennessee, and West Virginia may go from enjoying spring-like temperatures to needing heavy winter coats in a matter of 24 to 48 hours. The primary impact here will be the temperature shock, but the chance for some snowfall or a wintry mix cannot be ruled out, especially in higher elevations.
The Central and Southern Plains: While the most severe cold will likely be focused farther east, the initial push will still be felt across parts of the Plains. States such as Kansas, Missouri, and Oklahoma could see a significant temperature drop. This could stress livestock and agriculture that had been acclimating to milder weather.
The “sudden” nature of this shift is what can catch people off guard. Taking a few proactive steps can make a significant difference in your comfort and safety. The ad mentioned being ready, and here is how you can do that.